Trump is losing support among the most stable group of voters
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The US midterms will take place in November. A few months before the important elections, Trump is losing support among a voter base that is actually considered a bastion.
Washington, DC – The midterm elections are taking place in the USA on November 3, 2026. They mark the midterm elections halfway through the four-year term of office of a US president, in this case Donald Trump’s second presidency. As we slowly but surely approach the midterms, polls are already sketching out preliminary images of what results could await Democrats and Republicans.
For US President Trump in May meant… ABC News, Ipsos and Washington Post The survey carried out a first indication in a negative respect. It found that at that point, almost two-thirds (62 percent) of respondents were dissatisfied with Trump’s policies – a two percent increase from a survey with the same initial question in February. As the midterms approach, partisan polls are giving Trump and Republicans new cause for concern.
White workers and voters from rural US regions have so far been a stable support for Trump
Since his first US presidential candidacy a decade ago, one group of voters has formed an extremely important clientele for Trump: white, working-class voters. Possibly attracted by Trump’s promise to strengthen US industries and secure jobs for the white population there through vehement migration policy, Trump has repeatedly achieved success within this population group.
According to a survey by the nonprofit and nonpartisan Public Religion Research Institute (PRRI), two out of three white working-class voters supported Trump in the 2024 presidential election. But another group of voters is also of particular importance to Trump: eligible voters from rural regions in the United States. As a Pew Research Center poll showed, Trump was able to hold his own against Democratic Representative Kamala Harris in 2024 thanks to 69 percent of the vote from voters in rural areas.
With just a few months to go before the midterms, Trump’s approval rating among white working-class voters is plummeting
But just a few months before the congressional elections after two of four years of Trump’s renewed presidency, surveys indicate that upheavals in the once solid Republican camps of voters no longer seem as impossible as they did some time ago. A survey by CBS News and YouGov in May found that 54 percent of white voters without a college degree disapproved of Trump’s political leadership style. This meant an immense increase compared to the 32 percent that was the result of a survey with the same initial question in February 2025.
That rejection was at 49 percent in a June poll by NPR/PBS/Marist and in a poll by the conservative-leaning US broadcaster Fox News in April at 51 percent. Among voters in rural areas of the US, a Reuters and Ipsos poll in June found that 48 percent disapproved of Trump and his work: And that, too, marked a significant increase from the 34 percent that a poll conducted by the same research institutes showed the following month after the inauguration of Trump’s second presidency.
Although the midterms do not elect a new US president, they are still essential for Democrats and Republicans. On November 3rd, the 435 seats in the House of Representatives and 35 seats in the US Senate will be filled by members of Congress in all US states. In general, the US President’s approval rating has traditionally had a significant signaling effect on the outcome of the congressional midterm elections – both for the US House of Representatives and the Senate, as the US Vote Foundation points out. Trump’s Republicans currently control both the Senate and the House of Representatives. (Sources: ABC News, Public Religion Research Institute, NPR/PBS/Marist, Fox News, US Vote Foundation) (fh)